Welcome to Staten News — where the release calendar is the alpha and the presale chart is the tell.
Two big releases drop next Friday, November 6. Delta Reign and a new wave of 30th Celebration collections hit shelves the same morning, and the presale market has already picked its favorites.
The 30th Celebration Ultra-Premium Collection [Night] is sitting at $575.44 on TCGplayer. The [Day] version is at $533.97. Same product line, same release date, a $41 gap before a single box has been opened.
That's not a price. That's a prediction.
📅 What's actually dropping
Per TCGplayer presale listings, here's the sealed lineup with current market prices:
Friday, Nov 6: Delta Reign
Booster Box: $229.71
Elite Trainer Box: $104.98
Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box: $295.00
Booster Bundle: $49.85
3 Pack Blister [Seel]: $33.53
Friday, Nov 6: 30th Celebration
Ultra-Premium Collection [Night]: $575.44
Ultra-Premium Collection [Day]: $533.97
Classic Collection Pack: $293.68
Ditto Premium Collection: $191.89
Figure Collections: [Mew] $166.48, [Mewtwo] $157.95
Later: Delta Reign Build & Battle Box (Nov 20, $51.37), then the 30th Celebration Binder Collection and ex Tins on Dec 4.
The Pokémon Center ETB trading at nearly 3x the regular ETB tells you where the chase is. Exclusive promos and a fixed allocation. The regular ETB is the one you'll see stacked at Target.
🧠 Why presale prices lie (a little)
Presale prices are thin markets. A handful of preorders sets the number, and the number moves fast once real supply shows up.
Hyped sealed product tends to trade above MSRP in presale, dip in the first two weeks as distributors flood the channel, and then sort itself out by demand. The boxes people actually want to keep sealed recover. The ones people just rip don't.
Keyword: tends. The 30th anniversary is a once-a-decade nostalgia event, and nostalgia doesn't read the historical chart.
📲 So we built a tracker
We've been running a release tracker for CardSafe HQ. It watches every upcoming English Pokémon product on TCGplayer and flags the moves. As of today it's public, inside Staten Deals, our free deal-alert app.
Here's what it does:
A live release calendar with presale market prices, updated every morning
An alert when TCGplayer lists a new upcoming product
Reminders 7 days and 1 day before each release
An alert when a box, ETB or collection swings 15% or more overnight
No email, no password, no account to make. Open it, tap "Turn on notifications," and pick the alerts you want. On iPhone, add it to your Home Screen first, because that's the only way Apple lets web apps send notifications.
👉 staten-deals.michaelamarino16.workers.dev
Full disclosure: Staten Deals is ours, and it may earn a commission when you buy through its links. That doesn't change what it tells you. The price is the price.
🎯 What we're watching into Nov 6
Three things decide how this release trades.
First, the Night vs. Day UPC gap. It's about $41 today. If it holds or widens through release week, the market is pricing the Night promo as the long-term keeper. If it closes, the market is calling the two promos interchangeable.
Second, the Pokémon Center ETB. Anything near $295 for an ETB needs the exclusive promo to carry real value after release. If early PSA submissions come back soft, that number has room to fall.
Third, the regular Delta Reign ETB. If it's still above $100 two weeks after release, supply didn't catch up. That's usually where sealed holders start getting very comfortable.
We'll be watching all three. Now your phone can too.
Sources: TCGplayer presale prices (via Staten Deals), Pokémon.com: 30th Celebration Ultra-Premium Collections, Pokémon.com: Delta Reign arrives November 6
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling collectibles.
— The Bandicoots 🃏⚡