Welcome to Staten News — where release weekend finally let the printer talk.
📉 Last Week’s Biggest Loser: The Pokémon Center Box
On Friday we had the Delta Reign Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box at $299.38 on TCGplayer market. In the latest TCGCSV build on Sunday, it’s $198.20. That’s a 33.8% drop over one weekend.
The cheapest listing is $192. The floor is moving with the market instead of lagging it, which is what it looks like when supply arrives all at once.
The rest of the Delta Reign sealed board followed it down. All TCGplayer market via TCGCSV, compared with the prices in Friday’s release-day report:
3 Pack Blister: $22.34, down 29.7% from $31.78
Booster Bundle: $45.29, down 16.1% from $53.95
Elite Trainer Box: $90.94, down 11.9% from $103.18
Booster Box: $208.90, down 6.3% from $222.95
Outside Delta Reign, the 30th Celebration Ditto Premium Collection fell to $88.24 from $129.72. Down 32.0% in three days.
That’s not a crash. That’s the release-day premium getting refunded.
📈 Last Week’s Biggest Gainer: Nothing Really Ran
Be honest about it. The best performer we track was the Delta Reign Build & Battle Box, up 1.0% to $46.22 from $45.78. Right behind it sits the 30th Celebration Ultra-Premium Collection [Night], up 0.7% to $422.46 from $419.44.
The Night UPC lost 27% the week before. Holding flat after that is the win in this tape.
🎲 The Chase Cards Got Repriced Too
TCGplayer market now has Mega Rayquaza ex Special Illustration Rare (Delta Reign #138) at $312.70. On Friday, per NerdSnack, its first five sold listings ran from $383 to $449.
The gold Mega Rayquaza ex Mega Hyper Rare (Delta Reign #141) sits at $273.82. Its cheapest listing on Friday was $395.
Here’s the strange part. NerdSnack’s pull rate estimates, which we covered Friday, put #138 at about 1 in 480 packs and #141 at about 1 in 1,081. The rarer card is still $38.88 cheaper than the easier one. Raikou ex Special Illustration Rare (#136) is third in the set at $76.16, and nothing else clears $31.
Run the sealed math one more time. The booster box at $208.90 works out to $5.80 a pack, while a loose booster pack trades at $7.31. Cracked packs are pricing above the box they came from, which usually means box sellers blink first.
🔮 This Week’s Calls
Predicted gainer: Mega Rayquaza ex Mega Hyper Rare (#141). A chase card that pulls less than half as often as #138 shouldn’t trade below it for long. Once enough boxes get opened to show how few golds exist, that gap tends to flip. Possible? Yes. Guaranteed? No. The Japanese gold Mega Rayquaza fell 49% in under two months, per NerdSnack, so the gap could also close from the top.
Predicted loser: Delta Reign Elite Trainer Box. Market is $90.94, but the cheapest listing is already $64.99. That’s 28.5% under market, and MSRP is $49.99. Because when the low listing sits that far below the market price, the market price is the one that moves. Retail restocks finish the job.
📅 Calendar Check
November 20: Delta Reign Build & Battle Box, presale at $46.22 against a $21.99 MSRP
December 4: 30th Celebration Binder Collection at $94.90, Sylveon ex Tin at $72.37, Greninja ex Tin at $55.90
Those December presale prices come from our release tracker and are thin markets. The Binder Collection was $94.71 on Friday and the Sylveon tin was $73.10, so they’re holding while everything already on shelves slides. This is the week we find out whether Delta Reign sealed has a floor above MSRP, or just a slower path down to it.
Sources: TCGplayer market via TCGCSV, Staten News Delta Reign release-day report, Staten Deals release tracker
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before buying or selling collectibles.
— The Bandicoots 🐉📉